Wednesday, January 16, 2008
Bring Out Your Dead
Mitt and Hillary win in Michigan. The polls show that 40% of those who voted for Mitt said that his historic ties to the state were either "important" or "very important." Mitt's dad was the governor of Michigan from 1963 to 1969. Nothing like voting the issues.
Hillary was the only one of the big three Democrats on the ballot. The other two had pulled their names after Michigan got in the show down with the national party over moving the date of their primary to before Feb. 5.
The only person who proved anything in Michigan was McCain who got 30% of the vote. Like the old man from the Monty Python movie Holy Grail, McCain just shouted to America, "I'm not dead yet." In fact, he was actually declared the winner for five minutes when the Michigan State Republican Party sent out the wrong press release.
In Nevada, since December, Obama has gained 14 points and Hillary has fallen 10 points so that she now has only a three point lead.
I predict a narrow Obama win. That leaves South Carolina as the jumping off point for Super Tuesday on Feb. 5. The latest polling data I've seen puts Obama at anywhere from 42 to 50 percent with Hillary running right about 30 percent. If Obama can scratch out a win in Nevada followed by a big win in South Carolina, he could very well grab the momentum and make Feb. 5 live or die time for the rest of the field.